Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
Probability
14¢
1h
+1.8pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6015.3h
- 13:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 13¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 12¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 14¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 13¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 15¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 12¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 14¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 12¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (11.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).