Gracious-Museum
0xdee9d9ab79b86b4356a1ab02389fabc9a0152819
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$78.86
Total PnL
$-227.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
25 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.83
$4.83
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
24 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.68
$5.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?
18 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$18.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$12.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
209 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
121 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
88 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
68 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$17.08May 8, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$12.00May 8, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.19May 8, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$18.17May 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$25.18May 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$17.94May 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$30.97May 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$27.85May 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$39.33May 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$27.00Feb 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.00Feb 12, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$6.31Feb 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.50Feb 6, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Feb 6, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$30.00Feb 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$48.00Feb 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$26.00Feb 2, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$7.39Feb 2, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$88.17Feb 2, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $23.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.