Wrong-Casket
0xdf4c538b017263c56a6b1b940205a50d948af98c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$29.69
Total PnL
$-104.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
26 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.07
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
20 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.73
- YES
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
15 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$25.05May 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00May 15, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 15, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$21.26May 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.04May 15, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$27.41May 15, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$28.41May 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.02May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.02May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.03May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.03May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.15May 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$25.07May 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$25.21May 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.14May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.35May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.03May 15, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.21May 8, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.26May 8, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$7.13May 8, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.