Wooden-Prescription
0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$130.7K
Total PnL
$-490.8K
Realised
$263.41
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.8K
$2.5K
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
18111 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.1K
$209.80
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
14603 shares @ 76.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.0K
$2.9K
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
14076 shares @ 66.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.5K
$4.1K
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
9547 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$9.5K
$467.84
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
8639 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$388.77
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8239 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.6K
$410.38
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$525.00
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
5211 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.2K
$118.21
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.0K
$43.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.10Aug 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.10Aug 18, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$17.44Aug 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$2.6KAug 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Aug 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$15.84Aug 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$96.00Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$8.48Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$4.80Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$11.76Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$1.25Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$27.84Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$7.95Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$1.9KAug 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.10Aug 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$9.98Aug 18, 01:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.09Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$53.71Aug 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$10.69Aug 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.10Aug 17, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $429.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.