Favorite-Nephew
0xdfce09ad3d7a311426fda21c6cdfb4ebe0c7afc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$124.61Apr 12, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Mar 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$1.00Mar 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.00Mar 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$1.00Mar 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$1.00Mar 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Mar 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$10.00Mar 28, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBraves vs. Nationals$3.23Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$4.35Mar 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Mar 28, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Mar 28, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.