Subdued-Nightmare
0xe007a5269f24243a07633143985ec0c5e00bd749
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-20.70
Win rate
2%
183 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
238 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
222 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
190 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
174 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
151 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?$19.08Aug 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?$10.20Aug 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?$2.54Aug 19, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$5.08Aug 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$5.07Aug 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$5.60Aug 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$5.10Aug 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.04Aug 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$6.25Aug 10, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?$4.16Aug 10, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?$10.00Aug 7, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.01Aug 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$6.03Aug 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?$5.13Aug 5, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$2.06Aug 5, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?$5.10Aug 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Stray Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs$5.00Aug 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Stray Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs$4.76Aug 1, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$3.94Jul 28, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 183 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
183 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 183 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.