Bland-Creature
0xe03762f11a521a431eb0f63fbd772235b46b2788
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.24
Total PnL
$-99.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
4116 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-48.49
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
2840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.68
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
104 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.58Feb 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $1.00Jan 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Jan 20, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.00Jan 20, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.00Jan 20, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no coalition by October 31?$40.00Jan 20, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.43Jan 20, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$1.00Dec 10, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$1.00Dec 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?$3.00Dec 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir dip to $141 in November?$3.00Nov 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.00Nov 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$2.50Nov 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$2.50Nov 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no coalition by October 31?$7.00Nov 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no coalition by October 31?$1.50Nov 12, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.