Faithful-Gravy
0xe061e0fb0cbcd4e46586d297d84a96efbf18c768
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.11
Total PnL
$-20.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
No change in Swiss National Bank policy rate after March Meeting?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
597 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.62
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Mar 12, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 12, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$0.00Mar 12, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$7.98Mar 12, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$5.64Mar 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Mar 1, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 1, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?$1.08Feb 20, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$1.00Jan 31, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 31, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 31, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?$1.00Jan 31, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.25Jan 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$1.11Jan 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.25Jan 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jan 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Colombia next?$1.00Jan 10, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.