Robust-Inclusion
0xe07e995fdafb3355092ece65f61d185cfa13483e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$5.01
Total PnL
$-321.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.54
$0.04
- NO
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.24
$0.04
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 48.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.53
- 76ERS
Hawks vs. 76ers
546 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-295.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Hornets
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- INGKAR DYUSSEBAY
ITF Kayseri: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Ingkar Dyussebay
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- CLIPPERS
Timberwolves vs. Clippers
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- KINGS
Magic vs. Kings
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- MAVERICKS
Magic vs. Mavericks
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.10Jul 3, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$1.02Jul 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$1.64Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$2.22Jun 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$1.02Jun 4, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten$1.39Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten$1.19Jun 3, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$1.95May 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$1.18May 31, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Maxwell Mckennon vs Pablo Perez Ramos$1.01May 28, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Ingkar Dyussebay$1.20May 28, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?$1.85May 24, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?$1.81May 23, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.20May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season$1.24May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$1.26May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$1.27May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$1.29May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.34May 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$1.38May 23, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.