Cautious-Kayak-Fiber
0xe0900f6a3a23ac3ad70f0567265deb3f4c440dae
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$67.60
Total PnL
$-87.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
117 shares @ 51.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.05
$-34.95
- NO
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
292 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$16.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.41
$0.41
- YES
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
37 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-4.94
- YES
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
97 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-24.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
63 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?$10.28Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?$10.28Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$10.26May 31, 20:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$164.74May 30, 22:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$98.50May 18, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $30.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".