Bright-Avalanche
0xe09108661b229af9dc07c45702878a430d571cb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$45.82
Total PnL
$-255.48
Realised
$42.92
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$2.71
$1.71
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
3 shares @ 58.5¢·now 77.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.65
$0.65
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
7 shares @ 29.6¢·now 29.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$0.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10.10Jun 2, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.90Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.30Jun 2, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 2, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$21.84Jun 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.24Jun 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.25Jun 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.22Jun 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.75Jun 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.41Jun 2, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.14Jun 2, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$12.50Jun 2, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 31?$1.03May 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 31?$1.04May 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.00May 30, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$2.00May 30, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".