Afraid-Orchard
0xe0d835796b86c56c74337ca0676997d813332856
active
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.72
Total PnL
$-2.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will MoistCr1TiKaL get a haircut in 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Marti Morfitt be the next CEO of Lululemon?
5 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBill Clinton charged by March 31?$0.0020d ago
- REDEEMMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$19.8920d ago
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$2.4733d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$12.3852d ago
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.0057d ago
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.6157d ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?$4.4357d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?$0.0158d ago
- REDEEMWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$5.1761d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$0.0870d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.8673d ago
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?$1.8774d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$4.6274d ago
- TRADESELLElon Bull Run Parlay$4.6175d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?$1.8275d ago
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.4875d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$2.0076d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" during Honduran President events?$0.0076d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" during Honduran President events?$0.0076d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 84d ago
- Last active
- 20d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.