Elon Bull Run Parlay
Probability
13¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5995.5h
- 04:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5995h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 23¢-32.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $6.7M
- 2¢-1.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 13¢-42.0pp
Oilers vs. Ducks
Other · Vol $767.6K
- 0¢-50.4pp
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Other · Vol $753.5K
- 11¢-38.5pp
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Other · Vol $698.9K
- 0¢-54.4pp
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Other · Vol $528.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).