Severe-Moustache
0xe0e46a24926289f9162864805d52fa9b15068192
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$10.14
Total PnL
$-7.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $114K August 25–31?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLiberty Flames vs. Kennesaw State Owls$1.00Feb 26, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Hampshire Wildcats vs. Binghamton Bearcats$1.00Feb 26, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.00Jan 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Jan 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Jan 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.00Jan 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?$1.00Jan 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$1.00Oct 22, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Las Vegas Raiders win a regular season game first?$2.13Oct 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Oct 7, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $114K August 25–31?$1.00Aug 26, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win a regular season game first?$1.00Aug 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 6 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?$1.00Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.00Jul 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?$1.00Jul 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$1.00Jul 8, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".