Pushy-Hornet
0xe0ebde504e6c8ebef84bef69edfc141b80177a88
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$31.13
Total PnL
$-285.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
17 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.30
$0.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.17
$5.17
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 67.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Hailey Bieber pregnant in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.43
- YES
Will Girona FC win La Liga?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
300 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 8, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.08Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.08Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.16Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$1.21Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.39Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.45Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.67Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$2.22Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$2.44Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$9.09Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$14.29Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$17.86Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHailey Bieber pregnant in 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00Apr 21, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$2.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$2.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.