Unimportant-Steward
0xe114e5ca2d8c47baed151a71fd8eeb143047c208
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$579.51
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
55 shares @ 91.2¢·now 90.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.23
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.44
$0.11
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.44
$-0.02
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.41
$-0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$45.36
$-0.05
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.35
$-0.05
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.07
$-0.29
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.05
$-0.23
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.00
$-0.09
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
46 shares @ 97.6¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$43.52
$-0.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$914.10Jul 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.67Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.50Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.83Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.00Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.50Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$42.00Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$42.21Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.28Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$42.50Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.15Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.75Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.26Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.60Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.60Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.30Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.00Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$43.00Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.53Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$8.50Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.