Rubbery-Festival
0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
5802 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.8K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1700 shares @ 81.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.5K
$99.50
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
900 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$757.35
$-7.65
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
566 shares @ 86.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$551.82
$62.96
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 60.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$447.49
$146.50
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
314 shares @ 85.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$260.62
$-8.70
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
310 shares @ 73.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.35
$-15.83
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
166 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$155.63
$15.81
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$132.50
$-337.17
- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
121 shares @ 88.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$117.51
$10.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.00Jun 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?$4.28Jun 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.00Jun 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.85Jun 15, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$31.41Jun 15, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$5.00Jun 15, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$332.09Jun 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$0.06Jun 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$65.09Jun 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$105.00Jun 15, 01:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$225.00Jun 14, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$12.75Jun 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$680.00Jun 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?$4.72Jun 14, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$34.96Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$160.04Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$87.60Jun 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$144.84Jun 14, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $122.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.