Imaginary-Pate
0xe1301fa5db2e8a9f2ce3fce70f3a3f36f2a81817
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.93
Total PnL
$-26.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.66
$0.66
- NO
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 1, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 1, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 21, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$3.23Jan 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$0.10Oct 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$0.43Oct 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1.00Jul 29, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.