Novel-Lapdog
0xe13028dfca207d81dcd4462c0ff08a04507fa432
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$991.83
Total PnL
$-999.52
Realised
$-18.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
481 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$459.36
$45.70
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
293 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.31
$1.47
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
321 shares @ 20.0¢·now 48.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$154.56
$90.36
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
104 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$78.52
$9.88
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.78
$1.34
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
295 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.31
$-62.54
- NO
Will "Shit" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
618 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-247.20
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
550 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-115.50
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
491 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-97.22
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
396 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-297.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$106.48Apr 27, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$558.53Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$413.66Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$106.48Apr 23, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$381.78Apr 23, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$47.88Apr 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$33.60Apr 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$35.64Apr 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$204.58Apr 11, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$134.82Apr 11, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$206.30Apr 11, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$239.40Apr 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$50.16Apr 11, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$13.23Apr 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$22.41Apr 11, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$126.26Apr 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$212.16Apr 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$64.20Apr 9, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$894.41Apr 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$37.44Apr 8, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $198.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.