0xe15140da748ca6f978db95bd9303389aa7c2a852
0xe15140da748ca6f978db95bd9303389aa7c2a852
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$156.93
Realised
$151.81
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1000 shares @ 88.7¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$961.05
$74.17
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
600 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$568.50
$70.50
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
500 shares @ 92.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$494.00
$29.30
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1900 shares @ 25.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$408.59
$-79.96
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
300 shares @ 83.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.50
$20.50
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
309 shares @ 59.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.50
$48.81
- YES
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
202 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$198.86
$6.80
- NO
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
230 shares @ 54.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.07
$30.48
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
140 shares @ 59.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.30
$42.50
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
124 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.58
$9.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$500.00Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$300.00Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$25.00Jun 13, 11:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$5.45Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$24.55Jun 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$228.02Jun 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$0.28Jun 11, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$13.51Jun 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$60.74Jun 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$99.52Jun 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$145.88Jun 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$348.96Jun 11, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired before 2027?$9.92Jun 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.72Jun 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00Jun 9, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $25.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.