Rusty-Tour
0xe165b1de5233d93a3b87d225554c03d83ac92d4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.12
Total PnL
$-2.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.86
$0.01
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.74
$0.02
- NO
US bank failure by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.56
$0.02
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.26
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.72Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.82Jul 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.82Jul 11, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.71Jul 11, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 2?$1.12Jul 5, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 2?$1.12Jul 5, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?$1.58Jun 30, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?$1.32Jun 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?$1.32Jun 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?$1.57Jun 29, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.20Jun 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.34Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.17Jun 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.34Jun 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$2.07Jun 1, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.74May 9, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by April 30?$1.54Apr 30, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?$1.85Apr 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?$1.24Apr 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?$1.72Apr 15, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.