Mad-Toughguy
0xe1a7e1514c827423148a9be8bc85981c8ecd8819
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$498.24
Total PnL
$-304.32
Realised
$4.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1907 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.19
$0.19
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1149 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.07
$-17.93
- NO
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
216 shares @ 16.2¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$41.05
$6.05
- NO
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
398 shares @ 7.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.80
$9.80
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
7143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
1071 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$22.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
1368 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$18.46
$-11.53
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.04
$3.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.24May 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.73May 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.37May 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.31May 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.35May 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$207.16May 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.78May 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$31.17May 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$31.01May 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$51.99May 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$10.00May 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$31.11May 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.16May 13, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.38May 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.33May 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.02May 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.27May 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 13, 06:40 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".