Icy-Cricket
0xe1af0c325ceb3cdd95302896dfbd9f089629171a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$23.28
Total PnL
$-207.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.45
$5.65
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.25
$0.45
- YES
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.95
- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.35
$-3.25
- OPENAI + ANTHROPIC
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$-0.65
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-1.87
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.38
$-0.93
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.01
$-1.08
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
2026 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by July 31?$10.00Jul 24, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by July 31?$10.00Jul 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$27.15Jul 14, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by July 31?$2.10Jul 12, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by July 31?$0.85Jul 7, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?$5.80Jul 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by July 31?$2.25Jul 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$1.80Jul 6, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?$2.00Jul 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by July 31?$5.30Jul 4, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 27?$10.00Jul 4, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$10.00Jul 4, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$36.38Jul 4, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10.75B by June 30?$69.99Jul 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?$1.10Jul 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$1.10Jun 16, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP (Doubles): Gonzalez/Gonzalez vs Burruchaga/Tirante$3.29Jun 3, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?$1.50May 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?$1.10May 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10.75B by June 30?$4.30May 27, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.