Spirited-Motorcar
0xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$74.7K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$70.69
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.9K
$17.9K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.1K
$-17.9K
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
48117 shares @ 15.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$-3.4K
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3917 shares @ 66.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
2076 shares @ 88.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$134.04
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$202.50
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
4656 shares @ 46.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$-991.95
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
982 shares @ 79.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$951.60
$173.51
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$939.50
$109.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$654.00
$138.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$325.85Jun 13, 05:36 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$177.71Jun 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$139.53Jun 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$60.77Jun 13, 02:23 UTC
- YIELD$4.45Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$0.00Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$600.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX list on the NYSE?$444.79Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.5KJun 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.5KJun 12, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$5.8KJun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$253.20Jun 12, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $88.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.