Feminine-Pennant-Disadvantage
0xe1e0e3a87a95bc775eeb8dea2ce72baea692fe32
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$64.65
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-22.39
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
28 shares @ 10.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.40
$9.39
- NO
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$1.10
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.76
$-3.07
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.36
$1.76
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$7.08
$-1.68
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$5.57
$-0.23
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$4.95
$-0.46
- NO
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$-0.08
- YES
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.52
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-1.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. CD Moquegua end in a draw?$1.48Jul 26, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?$0.19Jul 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?$0.18Jul 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?$0.45Jul 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?$2.32Jul 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$5.34Jul 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$5.16Jul 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$2.27Jul 23, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$2.01Jul 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?$1.21Jul 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?$2.20Jul 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$3.03Jul 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$3.36Jul 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$8.37Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$8.03Jul 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winner$5.95Jul 22, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winner$8.12Jul 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner$5.78Jul 22, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner$4.43Jul 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$2.79Jul 22, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.