Unwilling-Refuge
0xe21e368d0649351a08e0fba98ad7a9392d887d97
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$42.39
Total PnL
$-1.69
Realised
$2.60
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.60
$2.10
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.50
$2.50
- NO
Will "Timothee" or "Kylie" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.23
$0.72
- YES
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.10
$0.60
- NO
Will "Delilah" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.63
$0.13
- YES
Will "Delilah" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.38
$-0.13
- NO
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.90
$-0.60
- YES
Will "Timothee" or "Kylie" be said on ICEMAN?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.77
$-0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
15 shares @ 1.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.69
$1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
15 shares @ 1.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.37
$1.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Cocaine" this week?$4.6512h ago
- SPLITWill Trump say "Cocaine" this week?$5.0015h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Cocaine" this week?$1.7515h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.0417h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in May 2026?$0.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.0217h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.1217h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.0120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.6821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.2722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.0122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.031d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".