Insubstantial-Pudding
0xe2a0d8abc7c0f0c067d9a6fda551c53b9fbe4230
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$774.49
Total PnL
$-434.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$155.00
$103.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
198 shares @ 41.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$114.00
$32.71
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.94
$27.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$39.00
$-33.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
196 shares @ 9.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$36.33
$17.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
198 shares @ 15.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$33.48
$2.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$30.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
191 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$29.65
$4.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$9.802h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$2.262h ago
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$0.003h ago
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$100.0011h ago
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?$3.8612h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$1.4616h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$0.2116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$3.1016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$10.3616h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$6.631d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$128.761d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$10.431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$5.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$14.671d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$67.031d ago
- REWARD$1.591d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$300.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$22.622d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$13.582d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$15.212d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $18.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".