Odd-Relish
0xe2b44168f9c361a06a64ed3fe0e858634e883c5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.1K
Total PnL
$2.8K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
73%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
1743 shares @ 51.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$958.71
$64.18
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1239 shares @ 69.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$948.16
$88.18
- NO
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
814 shares @ 55.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$573.93
$122.29
- YES
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
621 shares @ 50.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$319.58
$6.39
- NO
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
312 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$298.12
$3.95
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
338 shares @ 77.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$292.36
$31.16
- NO
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?
404 shares @ 77.4¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$291.02
$-21.81
- NO
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
436 shares @ 43.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$285.50
$94.88
- YES
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
311 shares @ 85.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$262.58
$-4.31
- NO
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
287 shares @ 85.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$256.76
$11.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$0.35Aug 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$16.67Aug 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$76.80Aug 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$30.72Aug 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.5KAug 18, 10:23 UTC
- MERGEWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$20.00Aug 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$12.08Aug 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?$8.00Aug 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$3.57Aug 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?$43.98Aug 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?$46.52Aug 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?$41.28Aug 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?$143.65Aug 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$23.55Aug 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?$8.10Aug 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?$180.67Aug 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.20Aug 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.82Aug 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?$7.74Aug 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$18.70Aug 18, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 85 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
85 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $86.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.