Ignorant-Vanadyl
0xe2d625ca9fd3f9a633c0b5e3317928a6121a7cc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$83.30
Total PnL
$-987.41
Realised
$3.14
Win rate
33%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
17 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$17.17
$5.90
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
16 shares @ 41.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$16.15
$9.43
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
11 shares @ 89.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.00
$0.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.60
$0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$5.00
$0.15
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.00
$1.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.10
- JUAN MANUEL CERUNDOLO
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4 shares @ 82.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.00
$0.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.86Jun 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.43Jun 4, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.71Jun 4, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.63Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.24Jun 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.87Jun 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.03Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.39Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.07Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.27Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.02Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.12Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.09Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.09Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.02Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.30Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.47Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.02Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.06Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".