Outgoing-Signify
0xe309b4427ff082ab44d6462e2a0e0a2a5f2144c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-955.69
Realised
$27.02
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
649 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$649.00
$90.86
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
557 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$557.00
$139.25
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
602 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$301.00
$-18.06
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$222.30
$11.70
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
63 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$63.00
$8.82
- NO
Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
45 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.00
$1.40
- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$40.77
$10.84
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
37 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.76
$1.29
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.83
$0.58
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
25 shares @ 26.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.62
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$29.88Apr 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$66.84Apr 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$379.05Apr 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$1.39Apr 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$2.27Apr 21, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$1.93Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$425.60Apr 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$764.40Apr 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$728.52Apr 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$16.24Apr 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$61.92Apr 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$26.08Apr 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$148.50Apr 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.70Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$501.38Apr 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$56.76Apr 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$47.61Apr 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts$319.06Apr 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$69.66Apr 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$754.60Apr 13, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $238.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.