Acceptable-Drapes
0xe3233e46461383f2ee13e2090c87f6921953af14
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$205.20
Total PnL
$-0.84
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
301 shares @ 23.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$79.81
$8.64
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
69 shares @ 83.3¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$62.46
$4.88
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
53 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.58
$3.19
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.50
$-0.70
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.89
$1.24
- NO
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$-0.70
- NO
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
127 shares @ 16.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.86
$-17.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$39.80May 31, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$50.36May 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.53May 27, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.99May 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$68.89May 27, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$26.31May 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$0.53May 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$13.85May 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.74May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$34.28May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$12.63May 20, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$2.81May 20, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$5.18May 16, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$0.64May 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$13.57May 10, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$3.60May 9, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$3.69May 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$14.76May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$27.46May 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$40.72May 1, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.