Accomplished-Exhibition
0xe32d083dd97709a5877edc4cc00c29f88fac0460
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$49.99
Total PnL
$-508.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.82
$10.96
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?
12850 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.40
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?
3551 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.30
- YES
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.10
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
720 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?
515 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?
501 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
320 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$10.00Jul 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$9.88Jul 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$7.73Jul 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$0.37Jul 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$1.89Jul 6, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$20.00Mar 31, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$20.00Mar 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$20.00Mar 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$20.00Mar 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$20.00Mar 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.03Mar 23, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.10Mar 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.00Mar 23, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$100.00Feb 3, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$22.50Jan 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$50.00Jan 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$18.03Jan 19, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$13.94Jan 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$13.58Jan 16, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.