Elaborate-Signup
0xe3ab8f949ff0419478f28935d21873f9630c5985
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.91
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-240.91
Win rate
4%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 57.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.12
$-0.05
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.79
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 11?
4997 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 11?
3323 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on April 12?
1249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 11?
1110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 11?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on April 11?
994 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 12?
764 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on April 12?
665 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.76Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.39Jul 13, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.98Jul 12, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.68Jul 12, 14:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs$3.74Jul 4, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon WTA (Doubles): Osorio/Sierra vs Williams/Williams$1.22Jul 4, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs$2.50Jul 4, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A$2.22Jul 4, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
46 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.