0xe3aeb10c729dbef5f382bc229dca0660583d217a
0xe3aeb10c729dbef5f382bc229dca0660583d217a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$623.55
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$8.59
Win rate
50%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
149 shares @ 8.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$33.52
$21.60
- YES
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 12.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.96
$13.68
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
103 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.75
$5.15
- NO
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?
64 shares @ 19.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$21.12
$8.96
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
124 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.46
$6.82
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
175 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.25
$0.00
- NO
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
60 shares @ 21.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.45
$5.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
353 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.47
$-3.71
- YES
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.27
$1.39
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
230 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.10
$-4.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$34.56Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?$18.11Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?$1.80Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$22.44Jun 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?$9.45Jun 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?$4.50Jun 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?$30.19Jun 12, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$8.53Jun 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$5.81Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$37.09Jun 12, 08:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.73Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? $14.88Jun 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$26.12Jun 11, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$2.40Jun 11, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$49.40Jun 11, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$1.00Jun 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$16.08Jun 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$23.02Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.