Ironclad-Mammoth
0xe3af50d219449ec9ec3bd98bf971d3b4983ad9e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$13.96
Total PnL
$-34.55
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
4 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.92
$0.32
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.02
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.02
- YES
Will Amazon Prime Video be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?$0.25Mar 28, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?$0.75Mar 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 19, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 19, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.39Mar 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.10Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.12Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$2.42Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.42Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.02Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.02Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.02Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$1.02Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.03Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.04Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition$1.08Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erin Doherty win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.09Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".