Frightened-Exploration
0xe3e4bded348f8608f322a598c19dbb3c42878d04
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-216.14
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3651 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$28.48
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.8K
$-225.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10000 shares @ 19.8¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.3K
$-650.72
- NO
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?
1000 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$914.71
$-8.58
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2500 shares @ 32.1¢·now 27.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$676.23
$-126.72
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
5000 shares @ 10.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$625.05
$104.86
- NO
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
748 shares @ 48.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$467.60
$108.67
- YES
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
508 shares @ 49.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$444.29
$195.49
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
450 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$438.52
$47.02
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1000 shares @ 34.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$295.10
$-51.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$17.22Jun 15, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$37.04Jun 15, 03:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$12.14Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$920.38Jun 14, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.30Jun 14, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$916.32Jun 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$391.50Jun 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$157.00Jun 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$137.00Jun 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$243.37Jun 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.07Jun 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$41.64Jun 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.91Jun 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$46.76Jun 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$221.00Jun 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$237.57Jun 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$38.84Jun 14, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $153.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.