Wobbly-Tonality
0xe3fc4bb98fa322f15ef6e4ae72e04edb139956b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$133.65
Total PnL
$-1.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
116 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.42
$-0.58
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
11 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 21.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.53
$-1.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$113.64Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$23.81Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$12.99Jun 11, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$56.18Jun 4, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?$110.00May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.00May 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2.19May 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$8.68May 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$20.36May 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$10.23May 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$100.48May 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$5.20May 25, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$87.78Apr 12, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$22.73Mar 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Mar 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5.00Mar 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5.00Mar 1, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by February 28?$5.32Mar 1, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $21.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.