Finished-Probe
0xe412e5e8d968aac829629310c6a023c9aff1553c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.06
Total PnL
$-62.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?
8400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?
8100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 22?
2990 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
2950 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 23?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 24?
1030 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 23?
1020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 23?
1003 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.38May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$4.98May 26, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$5.01May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$5.00May 25, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$5.00May 21, 07:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.78May 21, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.15May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$5.00May 15, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$5.00May 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$5.00May 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?$5.00May 12, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?$5.00May 9, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?$5.00May 9, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$5.00May 9, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$5.00May 8, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?$5.00May 6, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?$5.00May 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?$5.00May 5, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?$8.00May 5, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".