Academic-Participant
0xe4172448d326354a0dab89246985205f46fa7295
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.81
Total PnL
$-4.17
Realised
$1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 83.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Erling Haaland score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMGermany leading at halftime?$3.61Jun 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany leading at halftime?$3.02Jun 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.99Jun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.05Jun 12, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?$0.00Apr 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$175.84Apr 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$176.71Apr 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?$4.00Jan 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$99.95Dec 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.94Dec 6, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $44.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.