Authorized-Bottomline
0xe424b5e3ce3f27609e5a162c2ad61018316c0d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$787.42
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
148 shares @ 67.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$148.02
$48.02
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$93.98
$-6.02
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
206 shares @ 48.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$85.58
$-14.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$76.92
$26.92
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$58.14
$8.14
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$55.59
$5.59
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$55.56
$5.56
- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
88 shares @ 56.9¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.35
$5.35
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
76 shares @ 65.9¢·now 71.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$54.48
$4.48
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$52.25
$2.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 6, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$53.19Apr 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 31, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$54.95Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.25Mar 25, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Mar 24, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$52.69Mar 21, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$50.00Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.57Mar 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$37.88Mar 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$50.00Mar 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$50.00Mar 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Mar 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Mar 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Mar 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$50.00Feb 27, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$50.00Feb 27, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Feb 27, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 16, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $76.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".