Authorized-Bottomline
0xe424b5e3ce3f27609e5a162c2ad61018316c0d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$556.50
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
148 shares @ 67.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$148.02
$48.02
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
206 shares @ 48.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$124.76
$24.76
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$96.71
$-3.29
- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
88 shares @ 56.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.48
$22.48
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
76 shares @ 65.9¢·now 75.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$57.54
$7.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
60 shares @ 82.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.00
$7.00
- NO
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
20250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-69.98
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2485 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-997.94
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
2294 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
872 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-479.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$52.25Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$55.56Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$56.18Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$58.14Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$76.92Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 6, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$53.19Apr 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 31, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$54.95Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.25Mar 25, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Mar 24, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$52.69Mar 21, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$50.00Mar 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.57Mar 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$37.88Mar 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$50.00Mar 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$50.00Mar 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Mar 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Mar 7, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $69.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.