Stained-Date
0xe4286495595745804dad7d888893f0e30a9bf96a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$393.79
Total PnL
$-121.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
365 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$364.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
835 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$-1.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
13 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- GONZALO BUENO
Sao Leopoldo: Paulo Dos Santos vs Gonzalo Bueno
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
3 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$365.01May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.37May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.40May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.60May 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$51.82May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$51.89May 18, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$2.02May 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$3.64Apr 18, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSao Leopoldo: Paulo Dos Santos vs Gonzalo Bueno$3.50Mar 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$2.00Mar 30, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$6.32Mar 30, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$6.98Mar 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$6.00Feb 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$6.00Feb 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Feb 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Feb 7, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 0.5 Rounds$4.30Feb 7, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$6.07Feb 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$6.00Jan 31, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$3.00Jan 31, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $34.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".