Hearty-Bestseller
0xe4330b45fe39de73beed1ffc800a2f1d41931700
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$793.82
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-34.74
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
674 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$674.00
$141.54
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
168 shares @ 21.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.64
$65.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
86 shares @ 45.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.63
$-21.07
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$0.35
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
839 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-199.68
- ST. FRANCIS (PA) RED FLASH
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars
803 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-353.32
- YES
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
565 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-101.70
- NO
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
475 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-161.17
- YES
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
452 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-113.00
- NO
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
417 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-116.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$3.00Apr 13, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$30.00Apr 13, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?$110.00Apr 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?$107.20Apr 12, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$468.01Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$1.26Apr 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$423.69Apr 7, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?$199.68Apr 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$115.50Mar 31, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$11.76Mar 31, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$105.57Mar 31, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$39.96Mar 31, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$160.44Mar 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?$184.92Mar 29, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$289.12Mar 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$532.46Mar 29, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye release BULLY by March 20?$3.00Mar 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.00Mar 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$393.00Mar 27, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $178.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".