Physical-War
0xe444f7b05763ff32aa36ad56b5e02e001b0864f3
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$152.94
Total PnL
$-2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
160 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$76.00
$-4.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
65 shares @ 53.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.67
$5.67
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$26.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.115h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.005h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$80.005h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$42.208d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$63.638d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$19.0613d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$33.1613d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$7.0024d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$3.6624d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.0024d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$25.0028d ago
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$36.2328d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$17.8428d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$20.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$25.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$30.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.0031d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $25.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 31d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
