Thirsty-Contrary
0xe49e633681ccd8b8c30c847f20ccc28b95fede35
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$248.24
Total PnL
$-92.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
180 shares @ 40.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$70.21
$-2.79
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
104 shares @ 62.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$69.55
$4.75
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
218 shares @ 24.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$51.13
$-2.09
- YES
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
492 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.41
$0.42
- YES
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
160 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.01
$-4.86
- YES
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
401 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.03
$1.50
- YES
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
189 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.90
$-3.30
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
67 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.43Jun 8, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.81Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$5.34Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $3B one day after launch?$5.33Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$5.34Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.31Jun 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.03Jun 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.81Jun 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.22Jun 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.22Jun 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?$10.70May 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?$16.05May 31, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$10.65May 27, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.53May 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.53May 26, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.31May 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $3B one day after launch?$5.32May 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$5.33May 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$3.20May 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$27.64May 22, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.