Ancient-Baby
0xe4be3a0788961db3ece918e48bd667fb28053b28
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-406.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
1263 shares @ 76.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$73.54
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
677 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$615.70
$15.70
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
490 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$490.00
$11.76
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
450 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$450.00
$54.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$284.85
$-2.17
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$3.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
214 shares @ 83.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.48
$-2.65
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
94 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.07
$-0.42
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
200 shares @ 49.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$89.00
$-10.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$478.70May 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$603.40May 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$508.61May 25, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$200.00May 25, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$401.99May 25, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 25, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$92.50Jan 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$89.71Jan 2, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$396.00Jan 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$178.13Jan 2, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$89.25Jan 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$180.00Jan 2, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$964.86Jan 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?$6.94Jan 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?$280.08Jan 2, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?$99.18Jan 2, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$196.92Jan 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$176.00Jan 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$468.08Jan 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$368.00Jan 2, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $422.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.