These-Stage
0xe50426e53bc1485ee7d1ae741c606e2b679770ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$604.73
Total PnL
$-57.3K
Realised
$-307.16
Win rate
53%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
1217 shares @ 60.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$602.49
$-129.88
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 80.2¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.72
$-1.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.35
- YES
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
37765 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-504.01
- YES
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
36345 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
35210 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
31260 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
29864 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-146.30
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
25068 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-350.53
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
20799 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.3K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$131.17Feb 3, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.50Feb 3, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.63Feb 3, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.47Feb 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$489.54Feb 3, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI acquired before 2027?$5.32Feb 3, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $35.1KFeb 3, 23:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$165.31Jan 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$18.78Jan 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$917.66Jan 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$141.13Jan 15, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?$1.0KJan 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?$18.70Jan 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?$570.92Jan 15, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 15, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$250.91Jan 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$409.57Jan 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$284.81Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$170.75Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $298.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".