Automatic-Dimple
0xe5130efd660f15539f0c677a0572eab38d71b842
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$175.92
Total PnL
$-749.39
Realised
$-57.40
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
316 shares @ 81.9¢·now 54.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$171.75
$-87.01
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$-13.88
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.93
$0.87
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.52
$0.28
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
1 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.12
$-0.27
- YES
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
3 shares @ 27.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.70
- YES
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$0.01
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.25
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.06
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
611 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$0.76May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMHarmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Cristiano Ronaldo in 2025?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?$3.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?$3.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$3.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?$3.63May 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$415.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$3.70Apr 21, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?$0.96Feb 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?$1.32Feb 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$1.14Feb 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$123.97Feb 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$9.24Feb 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$10.78Feb 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$13.09Feb 8, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $72.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.