New-Driveway
0xe55d675f7f4ec93499a783f36bc4cb8650f41b6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$67.04
Total PnL
$9.74
Realised
$17.51
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 15.4¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.44
$7.76
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
972 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.21
$1.21
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 11.1¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.72
$5.73
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.24
$2.44
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
46 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.67
$-0.68
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
48 shares @ 10.4¢·now 11.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?
383 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20Jul 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.47Jul 28, 15:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.62Jul 23, 19:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.13Jul 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.09Jul 20, 20:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 16, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.63Jul 16, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.