Mundane-Angora
0xe5a006486b6636fa6d42774daf2f17f2c96c20da
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-133.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
1708 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$856.24
$-31.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
15264 shares @ 9.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$557.15
$-921.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
8131 shares @ 9.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$182.94
$-617.06
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
725 shares @ 15.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$83.38
$-27.62
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
2014 shares @ 11.2¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.51
$-150.49
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$10.42Jul 23, 14:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.32Jul 22, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.42Jul 22, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.26Jul 22, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 22, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?$10.50Jul 22, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$104.20Jul 20, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 20, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.00Jul 20, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$0.00Jul 20, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $77.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.