Concerned-Corporal
0xe5a35b635142e3bbfd3d5e3f70d01be53c3944ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-113.62
Realised
$41.77
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
1200 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$38.69
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
750 shares @ 82.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$648.72
$29.90
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
617 shares @ 41.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$268.39
$9.90
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
150 shares @ 66.2¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$131.03
$31.72
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
231 shares @ 63.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$129.36
$-17.10
- NO
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
131 shares @ 81.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.69
$-40.98
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 74.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.40
$7.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.50
$0.50
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
17 shares @ 63.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.58
$2.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$24.00Jul 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$99.30Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?$639.29Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$81.26Jul 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$90.45Jul 15, 17:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $151.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.